Experts Warn of Another Hot Summer Ahead for New York in 2025

As the warm season approaches, weather experts are forecasting a summer that could rival or exceed last year’s heat across much of New York.

The National Weather Service, along with several major meteorological outlets, is predicting that the summer of 2025 will be hotter than usual. Following one of the warmest summers on record in 2024, Western New York, Upstate New York, Central New York and other regions of the state may once again face extreme temperatures between June and August.

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center projects a 50 to 60% chance of above-normal temperatures for nearly all of New York, with the exception of some western areas, where that probability drops slightly to 40% to 50%.

The meteorological summer begins on June 1 and ends August 31st while the astronomical summer starts on June 20th and runs through September 21st.

Although the forecast leans hot, New York may see more rainfall than average in some regions. NOAA estimates a 33 to 40% probability of increased precipitation across the Empire State.

The Farmer’s Almanac, a longstanding publication known for its weather predictions, expects a dry and hot summer for most of New York. However, Western New York and portions of the Adirondacks may experience a hot but wetter season.

The Almanac, first published in 1792, warns that this summer will be intense: "Summer 2025 is shaping up to be a doozy," according to its latest outlook.

The Weather Channel also anticipates above-average temperatures for the Northeast, including New York, throughout the three summer months. Rainfall is expected to be modestly above normal, though the overall outlook suggests the East Coast may not be quite as scorching as it was during the 2024 heatwave.

AccuWeather is advising residents to ready their air conditioning units and prepare for higher utility bills. Their forecast predicts temperatures will average 1 to 2 degrees above the historical norm.

“Millions of households should expect increased energy use due to prolonged periods of heat,” said Brian Lada, senior meteorologist and content editor at AccuWeather.

Experts Warn of Another Hot Summer Ahead for New York in 2025